Thursday, August 16, 2012

Martingale


The reason I have to be silent: I simply do not know what is good and what is bad; I am not intelligent enough.
The reason I do not have to be silent: I simply do not know; it is best to express so instead of erroneously guiding any. There is no way to express my ignorance but via language when I am no more.
I am no lover of democracy in whatever form. I am not fond of autocracy by any norm.
Had I been living in India and in Bengal, how would I have behaved?
In the same way, I am behaving now wherever I am now – an isolated island unknown in universe and can’t be seen or located by any sensor however intelligent and sensitive! This island is memory less as much as it is not life supporting.
Memory less ness (property) evoked some memory – that of Martingales.
Now again I shall be a talking idiot since I don’t know.
In probability, martingales are games – no amount previous playing, practice or experience would help you to develop any winning strategy or increase your chances winning martingales. They are not what another Statistician, Bays, in a previous generation thought – knowledge or experience increase your chances of winning.
What do I know about martingales?
I know almost nothing. I could go no beyond its definition. I told my teacher that I too am memory less – you may derive or go on teaching but I would never learn about martingales unless – I am someone or something.
I am memory less and an idiot. All my experiences even if I gather knowledge and keep them under my finger tip via internet google or amazon and cloud, my chances of winning is O nor can I improve upon my chances.
Before I truly recognized myself as an idiot, however I went around and drank knowledge of esoteric think tanks and assumed many theories and logic. I assumed infinity, I assumed Axiom of choice, rules of logic, and rules of counting and numbers of various kind with many properties and their languages. At the end I realized I do not have enough intelligence to know and be proficient in any of these languages.
Is my life a martingale?
I create worlds and they vanish as soon as I am finished.
I have liberated three so far. I am finite and I can only decrease! I am a success when I reach O. Nothing to do thereafter - not even write.

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